Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 83%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 11:04 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Rob Sand is certified as the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election held on November 3, 2026.
- This market resolves to NO if any other candidate is certified as the winner, or if Rob Sand ceases to be a candidate prior to the election.
- The primary source of resolution will be official election certification data published by the Iowa Secretary of State.
- If official certification is pending or delayed, consensus race calls by major national news organizations (such as the Associated Press) may be used for preliminary settlement.
- Rob Sand, a Democrat who has served as Iowa State Auditor since 2019, is running for Governor of Iowa in the November 3, 2026 general election.