Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo?
PoliticsOne-OffLatin AmericaElection26dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleApr 24, 26, 11:06 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Paulo Kogos is officially declared elected as a deputado estadual (State Deputy) for the state of São Paulo, Brazil, by the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral - TSE) in the next general election.
- It resolves to "NO" if he is not elected.
- The official results provided by the TSE at https://resultados.tse.jus.br/ will serve as the sole source of truth for the resolution of this market.
- Paulo Kogos is a Brazilian political activist, commentator, and entrepreneur known for his vocal advocacy of libertarian and Austrian School economic views.
- He has previously run for public office in São Paulo.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo? resolve?
- Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo? is scheduled to resolve on October 5, 2026.
- How is Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria