Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 84.7%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 57 minutes ago
LaggingMay 16, 26, 6:46 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Pauline Hanson (leader of Australia's One Nation Party) has a face-to-face meeting with Donald Trump in person during 2026.
- Must be confirmed by the Donald Trump, Pauline Hanson, or photographic evidence.
- Update 2026-05-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Being a guest at Mar-a-Lago alone does not count.
- Hanson and Trump must physically interact, talk, or greet each other.