Will P vs NP be resolved by 2043?

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31+0.1pt4%
• October 31-0.2pt0%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$75.7M

24h Vol

$122.8K

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt23.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt15.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt4.7%

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 29, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+75.8pt97.1%
• 5.3 to 5.4-14.9pt1%
• 5.9 to 6.0-11.8pt1%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

• June 30+24.0pt44%
• December 31+1.5pt6%

Total Vol

$34K

24h Vol

$4.4K

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+9.3pt83.1%
• No17%

Total Vol

$444.7K

24h Vol

$3.2K

POLYMARKET

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

• 4,189.3 or 4,189.4+0.5pt85.9%
• Below 4,189.3+2.6pt10.1%
• 4,189.5 or 4,189.6+0.6pt4%

+1 more outcomes