Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 4:29 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves no if she doesn’t advance, or loses in November.
- (Identical market to: source market)