What are the current odds for Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035??

Manifold Markets prices No at 73.3% as of September 30, 2026.

Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035?

One-OffScience9y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 73.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Aug 11, 26, 12:45 AM UTCDec 31, 35, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

must be real gold, not the previous 'lead into gold' short he made as a joke (link here)

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035??: Manifold Markets prices No at 73.3% as of September 30, 2026.
When does Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035? resolve?: Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2035.
How is Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: must be real gold, not the previous 'lead into gold' short he made as a joke (link here)

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Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035?

Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035?

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