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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Science
  3. How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

ScienceWeatherYearly5mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 5
Above 5 0%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$1.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

91.0% / 97.0%

Spread

6.6%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

May 15, 26, 8:00 PMDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 683%

Rules

If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If more than 6 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 7 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If more than 6 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 7 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.