Current implied probability
Above 10 93%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$536.2
Liquidity
$701.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 38.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
May 15, 26, 8:00 PMDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 1238%
Volume trend
$536Jul 1311d of dataJul 27
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If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 6 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 7 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.