Current community forecast
1. Mona Keijzer will create a new political party 90.3%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 3:26 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the political actions of Dutch politician Mona Keijzer between her departure from the BBB in February 2026 and December 31, 2027, 23:59 CET.
- Only one option can resolve YES.
- The outcomes are defined as follows:
- Mona Keijzer will create a new political party: Resolves YES if Keijzer officially registers a new political party with the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad) or publicly launches and leads a new distinct political party she created or it's announced* she's part of a new political party within 72 hours of the public launch of this new political party.
- Rebranding her current one-person faction into an officially registered political party with an active organization/intent to run in future elections will qualify. *Announced by Mona Keijzer herself or through a consensus of credible media, where (only) the first media report of Keijzer being part of this new political party needs to be within 72 hours.
