Which EU country will disqualify a major presidential candidate or a major political party next?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which EU country will disqualify a major presidential candidate or a major political party next??

Manifold Markets prices Germany at 16.1% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Which EU country will disqualify a major presidential candidate or a major political party next? resolve?

Which EU country will disqualify a major presidential candidate or a major political party next? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.

How is Which EU country will disqualify a major presidential candidate or a major political party next? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: After France and Romania, i.e. after Apr 1, 2025

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POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.3%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.7%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt7.9%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.8M

24h Vol

$3.6M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+6.8pt83.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-7.0pt16.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$195.8M

24h Vol

$2.4M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico64.5%
• Ken Paxton+1.0pt36.5%

Total Vol

$40.8M

24h Vol

$2M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.9pt90.4%
• Republican Party+1.0pt9.5%

Total Vol

$69.2M

24h Vol

$1.6M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%+5.0pt46.1%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%+2.5pt34.3%
• Lula da Silva <4%-6.0pt13.7%

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-2.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+2.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep

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