Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.7%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleSep 5, 26, 12:07 AM UTCJan 3, 29, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Pennsylvania Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsJohn Fetterman out by which date?
PolymarketWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWho will John Fetterman endorse or suggest voting for in the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if John Fetterman formally resigns from his seat in the United States Senate at any point before his current term ends on January 3, 2029.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
- He completes his current Senate term without resigning.
- He leaves office before the end of his term due to death, permanent incapacitation, or expulsion by the Senate, without having submitted a formal resignation.
- A public announcement of a future resignation date will trigger a YES resolution as long as the effective date of the resignation is set to occur before January 3, 2029.