Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 58.2%
Forecasters
67
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingFeb 28, 25, 9:56 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, will Joe Biden win in 2028?
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KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if:
- Joe Biden is still alive when Donald Trump's current presidential term ends (normally January 20, 2029), or if Trump's presidency ends earlier for any reason (resignation, removal from office, death) and Biden is still alive at that time.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
- Joe Biden dies before Trump's presidency concludes.
- Market will continue in the event of a Trump presidency continuing beyond January 20th 2029, until one of the conditions are met.
