Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency??

Manifold Markets prices KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC (ban on prediction markets for elections) at 100% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency? resolve?

Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.

How is Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Department of Justice (DOJ) maintains numerous high-profile cases across antitrust, financial regulation, and tech sectors.

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$81.3K

POLYMARKET

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

• No+0.2pt97%
• Yes-0.2pt3%

Total Vol

$24.5M

24h Vol

$56.3K

POLYMARKET

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

• Thom Tillis-0.5pt11%
• Kirsten Gillibrand+0.5pt9%
• Andy Kim+0.2pt8%

+12 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will the Clarity Act become law?

• Before Jan 1, 2028+2.0pt20%
• Before Jul 1, 2027+1.0pt18%
• Before Oct 1, 2027-5.0pt

KALSHI

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

• Before Jun 1, 202755%
• Before May 1, 202747%
• Before Apr 1, 202726.5%

POLYMARKET

Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

• $3.50-$4.00T-19.4pt43.9%
• $4.00-$4.50T+3.0pt35.7%
• $4.50-$5.00T15.3%

+4 more outcomes

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