Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 85.3%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 5, 23, 3:31 PM UTCJan 6, 28, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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