What are the current odds for Will Joe Biden visit the White House ever again??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 64.7% as of October 26, 2026.

Will Joe Biden visit the White House ever again?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 64.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 19 hours ago

Stale

Jan 9, 26, 5:23 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Re-making this market as I thought it's an interesting question but the previous market creator N/A'd it in protest of the loan rule change.

Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if Joe Biden visits the White House building at any point after 09th January 2026.
This includes any visit to any part of the White House complex, whether for official events, ceremonies, or private occasions.
The visit must be confirmed through credible news reporting or official White House records.
This market resolves NO if Biden dies before he visits the White House again.