Will JD Vance be scored as having a higher % of lies than the average Democrat on PolitiFact by EOY 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 84.1%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Nov 10, 24, 4:56 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026
Manifold MarketsWill AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketRules
https://www.politifact.com/personalities/jd-vance/
- https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/republicans-democrats-lies-bill-adair-fact-check-politifact-trump-b2631493.html