What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024?
Society & Culture3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast3.0-3.9% 100%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 23, 3:57 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the NHES reports a number somewhere (e.g., here), I'll use that.
- Otherwise, I'll sift around for a best estimate.
- If the number I find in my sifting sits on the fence of two options, I'll split the resolution between both options.
- I'm setting the resolution date to December 31st, 2025, because those sums can be tricky for adults too.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024??
- Manifold Markets prices 3.0-3.9% at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024? resolve?
- What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If the NHES reports a number somewhere (e.g., here), I'll use that.
