Will Israel be a 'full' or 'flawed democracy' according to the Democracy Index in 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Israel be a 'full' or 'flawed democracy' according to the Democracy Index in 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 89.3% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will Israel be a 'full' or 'flawed democracy' according to the Democracy Index in 2030? resolve?

Will Israel be a 'full' or 'flawed democracy' according to the Democracy Index in 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will Israel be a 'full' or 'flawed democracy' according to the Democracy Index in 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_Index

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POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 28-0.7pt99%
• October 31-4.8pt92%
• November 2-4.3pt90%

+19 more outcomes

Total Vol

$30.6M

24h Vol

$1.7M

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 27100%
• October 29+0.6pt99%
• October 30+0.3pt99%

+39 more outcomes

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• No one49.5%
• Gadi Eizenkot+13.0pt26.5%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-9.0pt

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31-1.0pt61%
• December 31-0.9pt39%
• November 30+1.0pt28%

+22 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

• No-2.0pt93.1%
• Yes+2.0pt6.9%

Total Vol

$28.6M

24h Vol

$339.1K

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

• No+0.1pt100%
• Yes-0.1pt0%

Total Vol

$4.3M

24h Vol

$291.1K

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