Will I (@Bayesian) see a humanoid robot in person, in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will I (@Bayesian) see a humanoid robot in person, in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 85.7% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will I (@Bayesian) see a humanoid robot in person, in 2026? resolve?

Will I (@Bayesian) see a humanoid robot in person, in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will I (@Bayesian) see a humanoid robot in person, in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: must be at least 4 feet tall to count, and be operational (be able to stand up and walk)

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POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt56%
• Google-1.5pt35%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.2M

24h Vol

$186.2K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+7.8pt95%
• Anthropic-6.2pt5%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt94.5%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.1pt59.7%
• Gemini-2.3pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?

• December 31-7.0pt81%
• December 15-13.5pt74%
• November 30+4.0pt62%

+5 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt29.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.2pt23.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.8pt16.5%

+7 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?