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Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?

China SportsOne-OffAI3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 90%

Forecasters

41

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Apr 19, 25, 12:36 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2027, a humanoid robot completes a full marathon (42.195 kilometers) in a time faster than the current official human marathon world record.
The current men's marathon world record is 2 hours, 0 minutes, and 35 seconds, set by Kelvin Kiptum at the Chicago Marathon on October 8, 2023.
The current women's marathon world record is 2 hours, 9 minutes, and 56 seconds, set by Ruth Chepngetich at the Chicago Marathon on October 13, 2024.
For the purpose of this market, the robot must complete the marathon in a time faster than 2:00:35.
The robot's performance must be officially documented and recognized by a reputable organization or governing body in the field of robotics or athletics.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027??: Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027? resolve?: Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
How is Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria:

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