Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 99%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 25, 9:44 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Prediction: By December 31, 2030, a humanoid robot will complete a 13.1-mile (21.1 km) half marathon in under 2 hours.
- Pass/Fail Criteria:
- The event must be a legitimate half marathon recognized by local race authorities.
- The robot must run on two legs with no external power supply.
- Official chip time or race clock must show under 2:00:00 at the finish line.
- Must be documented by official race organizers or credible local media.
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- Barcelona18.1%
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- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
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+45 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
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- Total Vol
- $2.5M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030 resolve?
- Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.
- How is Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Prediction: By December 31, 2030, a humanoid robot will complete a 13.1-mile (21.1 km) half marathon in under 2 hours.