Current community forecast
A humanoid robot completes a full Marathon race. 88.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJun 7, 25, 2:49 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed event if it occurs before January 1, 2030, as verified by credible sources.
- Contribution
- Anyone can add new answers to the question.
- Humanoid robots have been making significant strides in recent years.
- In April 2025, the "Tiangong Ultra" humanoid robot completed a half-marathon in Beijing, finishing the 21.0975-kilometer race in 2 hours, 40 minutes, and 42 seconds.
Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
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- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
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- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Milestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030?
- Manifold Markets prices A humanoid robot completes a full Marathon race. at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Milestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030 resolve?
- Milestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Milestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria