Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 91.4%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 25, 9:40 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030
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KalshiBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
PolymarketEthereum above ___ on September 9?
PolymarketRules
By December 31, 2030, a humanoid robot (legs, arms, torso in roughly human form) with no external power source or tether will complete an official 10-kilometer race in under 1 hour.
- Verification Criteria:
- Race format: Any officially recognized 10K (e.g., a local marathon event’s 10K division).
- Humanoid form: Must have two legs, two arms, and a torso, moving in a bipedal (human-like) gait.
- Power: No cables, no battery swapping mid-race, no external power assist.
- Time limit: Cross the official finish line in < 60 minutes, as recorded by event timing.
Open markets
StablecoinPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $465.3K
- 24h Vol
- $336.2K
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.3pt100%
- 2,100+0.3pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- 72,000-0.1pt99%
- 74,00098%
- 76,000-2.0pt91%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-13.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-10.0pt38%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-20.0pt35%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.2pt99%
- 72,000+0.8pt99%
- 74,000-1.0pt96%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 13?
- 70,000+0.8pt99%
- 72,000-0.1pt97%
- 74,000-1.5pt93%
+8 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 11?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 10?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- Bitcoin price on September 12?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
- Ethereum price on September 9?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Bitcoin price on September 10?
- Total commitments for the Linera public sale on Sonar
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Humanoid Robot Finishes a 10K Race Under 60 Minutes by 2030?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Humanoid Robot Finishes a 10K Race Under 60 Minutes by 2030 resolve?
- Humanoid Robot Finishes a 10K Race Under 60 Minutes by 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.
- How is Humanoid Robot Finishes a 10K Race Under 60 Minutes by 2030 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: By December 31, 2030, a humanoid robot (legs, arms, torso in roughly human form) with no external power source or tether will complete an official 10-kilometer race in under 1 hour.