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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 60.8%
Forecasters
42
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleNov 13, 25, 5:36 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
It must use a good old computer + mouse + keyboard or some other setup a human would normally use. it must complete minecraft by itself with no external help during the successful run.
- Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The robot must control its actions through muscle-like actuators (not just software wrappers that bypass physical actuation).
- The model must physically operate a standard computer setup (mouse, keyboard, or similar human-used interface).