Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 89.1% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term? resolve?

Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.

How is Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will Donald Trump Sr. be alive at the 2029 inauguration? He is currently 78 and obese, and hasn’t released his medical records, which could be a bad sign.

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KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+3.0pt67.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-3.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep-1.0pt7.3%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$70M

24h Vol

$5.4M

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party93.1%
• Republican Party6.9%

Total Vol

$31.4M

24h Vol

$4.4M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt69.5%
• Ken Paxton-1.0pt30.5%

Total Vol

$53.2M

24h Vol

$3.6M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+1.2pt92.3%
• Republican Party-1.3pt7.7%

Total Vol

$82.9M

24h Vol

$3.3M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+4.0pt68.9%
• R Senate, D-4.0pt23.3%
• Republicans Sweep+1.0pt6.8%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party+4.0pt72%
• Republican Party-4.0pt28%

Total Vol

$12.6M

24h Vol

$1.9M

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