Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 8, 25, 11:01 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
Manifold MarketsWill both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
Manifold MarketsWill BadlandsChugs be alive on January 1st 2029?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if Donald Trump is alive on January 20, 2029 starting at 12:00 am EST, and NO on that date or earlier if he is deceased by that date.
- Trump will be 82 years old on this date.
- Resolution will be based on widely reported news sources and official announcements.
