Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocrats win both senate and governor 43.4%+2.8ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.4 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Feb 11, 26, 9:29 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?
PolymarketDemocrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?
Manifold MarketsDemocrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
Resolves according to the winner of the 2026 November Iowa gubernatorial and US senate elections.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iowa_gubernatorial_election
- https://manifold.markets/Jack1/which-party-wins-the-2026-iowa-gove?r=SmFjazE
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Iowa
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt58.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva40.2%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $153.3M
- 24h Vol
- $967.8K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep+0.3pt9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $223.1M
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-5.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Total Vol
- $33.2M
- 24h Vol
- $600.7K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.9pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
- Total Vol
- $34.5M
- 24h Vol
- $564.5K
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Democrats win Iowa in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Democrats win both senate and governor at 43.4% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Will Democrats win Iowa in 2026? resolve?
- Will Democrats win Iowa in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Democrats win Iowa in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves according to the winner of the 2026 November Iowa gubernatorial and US senate elections.