Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastJan 1, 2025 100%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
56
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleApr 2, 24, 12:55 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will China still be a communist country on the following dates
Manifold MarketsWill the United States of America still have a republican system of government by the following dates:
Manifold MarketsWill chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates? (2032)
Manifold MarketsCuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026?
FutuurCommunist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketRules
Using Wikipedia’s characterization of the government type to resolve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba
- For clarity, communist in this case means Marxist-Lennist: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_socialist_states
- Each year will resolve individually, so if the government changes form in 2026 and then stays the same from there on out, the both the named outcome and the following years will resolve as NO.
