FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Yes 91%
Yes 91%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$419
Low liquidityTraders
9
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
Manifold MarketsWill Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates
Manifold MarketsUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketCuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by which date?
PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether Cuba will continue to operate as a one-party state through December 31, 2026.
- For this market, a one-party state means that only a single political party is legally recognized to govern.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Cuban government or constitutional announcements regarding party recognition.
- If Cuba continues to legally recognize only one governing political party through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Partial recognition of opposition parties without genuine legal pluralism may require intent-based judgment by Futuur.
