What are the current odds for Cuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026??

Futuur prices Yes at 91% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Cuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026? resolve?

Cuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution data

Current implied probability

Yes 91%

Market quality

31 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

$419

Low liquidity

Traders

Comments

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This event predicts whether Cuba will continue to operate as a one-party state through December 31, 2026.

For this market, a one-party state means that only a single political party is legally recognized to govern.
The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Cuban government or constitutional announcements regarding party recognition.
If Cuba continues to legally recognize only one governing political party through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Partial recognition of opposition parties without genuine legal pluralism may require intent-based judgment by Futuur.