Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.2%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jan 18, 26, 10:23 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump vs Hillary Clinton 🥊 {SUPREME COURT RECTANGLE}
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PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- Criminal contempt of Congress carries a maximum penalty of up to one year in prison and a fine of up to $100,000.
- This market resolves YES if either Bill or Hillary Clinton spends any time in prison during 2026 as a result of criminal conviction or court-ordered incarceration.
- This includes time served for contempt of Congress or any other criminal charge.
- The market resolves NO if neither spends any time in prison during 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records and credible news reporting of sentencing and incarceration.
