Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.6%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 7, 24, 3:17 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
End of Biden's hypothetical second term: January 20, 2029.
- If Biden dies on or before this date, the market resolves to yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to no.
