Will Arkansas Issue 1 (citizenship requirement to vote) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection23dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 97.6%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 6:33 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if Arkansas Issue 1 (A Constitutional Amendment to Be Known as "The Citizens Only Voting Amendment" and Providing That Only a Citizen of the United States Meeting the Qualifications of an Elector Under the Arkansas Constitution May Vote in an Election in this State.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of electors voting on the amendment (Ark.
- Const. art. 19 §22)
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):
