Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.5%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 2, 26, 10:03 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:55 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
HB 752 was just signed into law, adding Section 18-4117 to the Idaho Code.
- This law criminalizes usage of the preferred restroom for transgender persons.
- Resolves YES if anyone is formally charged under the statute in 2026.
- Resolves NO if not.
- Note that it doesn't matter if the charges are later dropped.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? resolve?
- Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: HB 752 was just signed into law, adding Section 18-4117 to the Idaho Code.