Will (any) Trump run against (any) Obama in the 2028 presidential election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.2%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 25, 3:58 PM UTCJan 5, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves based on whether the 2028 U.S. presidential election features a direct matchup between a member of the Trump family and a member of the Obama family, including as independent candidates, president or vice-president.
- For this market to resolve YES, one major party nominee must be from the Trump family (Donald, Don Jr., Ivanka, Eric, etc.) and the other major party nominee must be from the Obama family (Barack, Michelle, etc.).
- Other people with the same surnames do not count.
- If only one family has a nominee, or neither family has a nominee, the market resolves NO.
