Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 1, 23, 9:24 AM UTCDec 31, 32, 9:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Currently the highest is France at 1.84 (live births per woman).
- Note that the measure I'm using here is slightly different from "replacement rate" (which is 2.1).