Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57.1%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleSep 13, 23, 1:29 AM UTCJan 2, 35, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
0.78 in 2022.
- Will use world bank data if available.
- I won't bet.
