Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56.7%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 hours ago
StaleJul 3, 24, 6:08 AM UTCJan 22, 01, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if one person is the President of the United States for more than 2,922 days since the ratification of the 22nd Amendment on 21 March 1947.
- This market resolves NO if the YES criteria are not met before two days after Inauguration Day in 2101 (22 January 2101).
- Franklin D. Roosevelt holds the record for most time in office as the President of the United States.
- Roosevelt held the office for three full terms and died in 1945, only a few months into his fourth term.
- He spent a total of 4,422 days in office, putting him in 1st place.
- As of market creation on 3 July 2024, twelve presidents were tied for 2nd place, each having served for exactly 2,922 days.
