What are the current odds for Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez become US president before 2100??

Manifold Markets prices No at 81% as of October 29, 2026.

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez become US president before 2100?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 81%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Stale

Mar 26, 25, 3:39 AM UTCDec 30, 99, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market resolves to YES if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez becomes President of the United States at any time before January 1, 2100.

Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
Only official, publicly recognized terms as President count (e.g., being sworn in after an election or succession).
Temporary or acting roles do not qualify.
Early resignations or removal from office do not affect resolution as long as they officially assumes the presidency.
Resolves N/A in the case that the office of president ceases to exist for practical purposes.