Will a second US state impose a statewide pause on new data centers in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffRegulationUS Politics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.4%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleAug 11, 26, 4:09 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
New York became the first state on July 14, 2026, when Governor Hochul's Executive Order #62 paused discretionary environmental permits for 50MW+ data centers statewide.
- This market asks whether any other state follows before the year ends.
- Resolves YES if: After August 10th, 2026 and before 12:00 AM ET January 1, 2027, any U.S. state other than New York imposes a legally binding, statewide moratorium or pause on either (a) permitting/approval of new hyperscale or AI data centers, or (b) new large-load data center interconnections to the electric grid.
- Qualifying instruments: state statute signed into law, governor's executive order, or a binding public utility commission order applying to all major investor-owned utilities in the state.
- "Statewide" means the pause applies across the state or to substantially all prospective new hyperscale development in it.
- County and municipal moratoria do not count, regardless of how many exist.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a second US state impose a statewide pause on new data centers in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a second US state impose a statewide pause on new data centers in 2026? resolve?
- Will a second US state impose a statewide pause on new data centers in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will a second US state impose a statewide pause on new data centers in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: New York became the first state on July 14, 2026, when Governor Hochul's Executive Order #62 paused discretionary environmental permits for 50MW+ data centers statewide.