Will a second US state impose a statewide pause on new data centers in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffRegulationUS Politics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79.8%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 11, 26, 4:09 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNumber of data centers in Pennsylvania in 2026?
KalshiGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by which date?
PolymarketCoreWeave data centers in Q3
KalshiWhat will be the next US state to impose an EU-like ban on single-use plastics?
Manifold MarketsWill at least three more U.S. states impose special electricity tariffs on data centers before Jan 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
New York became the first state on July 14, 2026, when Governor Hochul's Executive Order #62 paused discretionary environmental permits for 50MW+ data centers statewide.
- This market asks whether any other state follows before the year ends.
- Resolves YES if: After August 10th, 2026 and before 12:00 AM ET January 1, 2027, any U.S. state other than New York imposes a legally binding, statewide moratorium or pause on either (a) permitting/approval of new hyperscale or AI data centers, or (b) new large-load data center interconnections to the electric grid.
- Qualifying instruments: state statute signed into law, governor's executive order, or a binding public utility commission order applying to all major investor-owned utilities in the state.
- "Statewide" means the pause applies across the state or to substantially all prospective new hyperscale development in it.
- County and municipal moratoria do not count, regardless of how many exist.