What are the current odds for Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before basic AGI??

Manifold Markets prices No at 64.9% as of October 29, 2026.

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Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before basic AGI?

GeopoliticsOne-Off

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No 64.9%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Forecast

Market data

Updated 15 hours ago

Stale

Apr 5, 23, 1:09 PM UTCJan 1, 01, 5:59 AM UTC

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Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before basic AGI?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before basic AGI?

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?