Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 55.5%
Forecasters
67
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJan 1, 24, 3:45 PM UTCMar 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
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KalshiRules
Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of the Moon before January 1st 2030 (and after 2023)
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-97ccfb75fd6d
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2461b12d959d
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-7178da6928ae
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-5dd99d5a1e48
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 56% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030? resolve?
- Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2030.
- How is Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of the Moon before January 1st 2030 (and after 2023)