What are the current odds for Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035??

Manifold Markets prices No at 53.2% as of October 23, 2026.

Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 9:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

No 53.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Feb 15, 24, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 36, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market will resolve to YES if, before the end of 2035, a human clone is born and survives for at least one day.

Only creating a fertilized egg will not count, the embryo must be grown until birth.