Who will win the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 2026 Senate election?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics29dManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastPete Buttigieg 0.1%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
33
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jan 29, 25, 3:56 AMAug 7, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
0.1%
0.1%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Haley Stevens19%
Compare venues· Abdul El-Sayed
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMost active | 83% | — | $97.6K | $803.1K | 5 minutes ago | Open → |
 Polymarket | 81% | — | $31.2K | $276.5K | 1 minute ago | Open → |
 Futuur | 81% | — | $621.5 | $0 | 3 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | 80% | — | — | — | 3 minutes ago | |
 PredictIt | 83% | — | — | — | 4 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 80% | — | — | — | 4 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 84% | — | — | — | 3 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
5.3%26d
-4.5%81%
+5.3%20%
0%
+17 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$821.3K
24h Vol$31.2K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
2.0%3mo
+2.0%16%
-3.0%83%
-0.1%0%
+6 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$97.6K
KALSHIAlso available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate nomination?
1.0%
+1.0%83%
17%
1%
+2 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITAlso available on Futuur
Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary
26d
81%
10%
20%
40 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$621.5
24h Vol$621.5
FUTUURAlso available on Manifold Markets
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner?
26d
18.8%
80.3%
1%
Community forecast35 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$50.1K
24h Vol$0
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Democratic Primary in Michigan's 2026 Senate Election?
27d
1.1%
84.1%
14.8%
Community forecast18 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$7.6K
24h Vol$0
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Incumbent Democratic Senator from Michigan Gary Peters, whose seat is up for re-election in 2026, has surprisingly decided not to seek reelection.
- Who will replace him as the Democrats' nominee? Feel free to add answers, especially since the candidate field has yet to be determined at time of market creation.
- Question will be resolved upon the completion of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary.
- I reserve the right to change the closing date to reflect the Democratic primary schedule.
- I may bet in this market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Incumbent Democratic Senator from Michigan Gary Peters, whose seat is up for re-election in 2026, has surprisingly decided not to seek reelection.
- Who will replace him as the Democrats' nominee? Feel free to add answers, especially since the candidate field has yet to be determined at time of market creation.
- Question will be resolved upon the completion of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary.
- I reserve the right to change the closing date to reflect the Democratic primary schedule.
- I may bet in this market.