Who will win the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 2026 Senate election?
0.9 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS PoliticsManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Abdul El-Sayed
Resolved: Aug 5, 2026, 4:58 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastAbdul El-Sayed 99.8%+0.9ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
74
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+13.5 pts
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleJan 29, 25, 3:56 AMAug 5, 26, 4:58 PM
Probability Timeline
Pete Buttigieg0.8%
Haley Stevens0.1%
Mallory McMorrow0.4%
Abdul El-Sayed99.8%
Other0.8%
99.8%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
Incumbent Democratic Senator from Michigan Gary Peters, whose seat is up for re-election in 2026, has surprisingly decided not to seek reelection.
- Who will replace him as the Democrats' nominee? Feel free to add answers, especially since the candidate field has yet to be determined at time of market creation.
- Question will be resolved upon the completion of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary.
- I reserve the right to change the closing date to reflect the Democratic primary schedule.
- I may bet in this market.
