Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 32.4%Leader of 20 outcomes
Forecasters
42
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-24.6 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 15, 23, 5:01 PM UTCJul 2, 30, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners.
- Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners.
- This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else.
- If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.