What are the current odds for Does P = NP??

Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Does P = NP? resolve?

Does P = NP? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 3000.

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Does P = NP?

One-OffScience

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 88%

Forecasters

190

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Mar 4, 22, 12:30 AM UTCJan 1, 00, 8:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

This market will resolve once a widely-accepted proof exists that P does or does not equal NP. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P_versus_NP_problem

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Does P = NP?

Does P = NP?

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Frequently asked questions

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