Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJD Vance 35.6%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 5, 25, 11:31 PM UTCSep 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses?
Manifold Markets2028 Iowa Republican caucus winner?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the candidate with the greatest number of votes in the 2028 Iowa Republican caucuses.
- In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
- If no caucus is held by September 1st, 2028, this market will resolve to "the named outcome."