Who will win the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate district
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSara Hernandez 72.3%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 18, 25, 2:22 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate District.
- The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
- (ballotpedia.org)
- California's 26th State Senate District encompasses several Los Angeles neighborhoods, including Boyle Heights, El Sereno, Highland Park, Eagle Rock, and others.
- (sd26.senate.ca.gov) The district is currently represented by Senator Maria Elena Durazo, a Democrat who was elected in 2022.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate district?
- Manifold Markets prices Sara Hernandez at 72% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will win the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate district resolve?
- Who will win the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate district is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Who will win the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate district settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria