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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate district

PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Roger Niello (incumbent) 72.3%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters

4

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Stale
Jul 2, 25, 3:37 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Roger Niello (incumbent)72%

Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate District.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (ballotpedia.org)
  • California's 6th State Senate District encompasses parts of Sacramento and Placer counties, including cities such as Lincoln, Rocklin, Roseville, and Folsom.
  • The district has a nearly equal split between registered Democrats (35.6%) and Republicans (35.8%), with 20.4% of voters having no party preference.

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Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate District.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (ballotpedia.org)
  • California's 6th State Senate District encompasses parts of Sacramento and Placer counties, including cities such as Lincoln, Rocklin, Roseville, and Folsom.
  • The district has a nearly equal split between registered Democrats (35.6%) and Republicans (35.8%), with 20.4% of voters having no party preference.