Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 11, 2026, 5:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastJoe Biden 13%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 45 days ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 9:36 PMDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Joe Biden13%
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Update 2026-06-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Running is defined as actively seeking the nomination of a party or declaring to run as an independent for the presidency.