Which words will Trump write on Truth Social in the week after the Nobel Peace Prize announcement (Oct 9–15, 2026)?
US PoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine4dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNobel 100%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+30.9 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 6, 26, 10:39 AM UTCOct 16, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is announced in Oslo on October 9, 2026.
- This market asks which of these words Donald Trump writes on Truth Social in the week that follows.
- Window: posts made from October 9, 2026 00:00 ET through October 15, 2026 23:59 ET.
- What counts: text written by @realDonaldTrump in a Truth Social post, including the text he writes on top of a quote-post.
- Matching is case-insensitive and includes plurals and possessives (e.g. "Nobel's", "Norwegians").
- For Zelensky, any common spelling counts (Zelensky, Zelenskyy, Zelenskiy).
