Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Nevada's 4th District?
24.2 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic Party 88.7%+24.2ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+24.2 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 6, 26, 3:06 AM UTCNov 8, 28, 12:00 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves to the party that wins the November 7, 2028 U.S. House election in Nevada's 4th District: whichever district is numbered 4 on the map in effect for that election.
- N/A if that map has no district numbered 4.
- Only the party matters: a Democratic or Republican nominee counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Anyone else resolves to Other, or to their own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called the race and no recount could change it.
- N/A if no election for this seat is held.
